¥In a tomb with 10 boxes (assuming 4 female and 6 male interments), given
that one name is ÒJesus,Ó what are the
chances he is a son of ÒJosephÓ and that the tomb
also contains a ÒMaryÓ?
–That the father is Joseph, p(J) = .083
–That one of the interred is a Mary, p(M) = 1 - (1-.213)4 = 1-.384 = .616
–P(both J&M) = .083 x .616 = .0511 = over 1:20